This iceberg, which calved from Antarctica’s Filchner Ice Shelf in 1986, remained grounded on the seabed for decades before finally breaking free in 2020. Now, carried by the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, it is approaching South Georgia, raising concerns about its potential impact on local wildlife.

South Georgia is home to large populations of fur seals, albatrosses, and penguins. If A23a grounds in shallow waters near the island, it could obstruct critical feeding routes between breeding sites and the ocean. This could force adult penguins and seals to travel further for food, increasing energy expenditure and reducing survival rates, particularly for young animals. Scientists also warn that such disruptions could worsen the effects of existing threats like avian influenza.

A23a's route

While the iceberg's arrival poses challenges, it may also have ecological benefits. As A23a melts, it releases iron and other nutrients into the ocean, stimulating plankton growth. This could attract krill, a key food source for many marine species in the region. Similar events have been observed with past icebergs, such as A68, which drifted near South Georgia in 2020.

Tracking A23a’s precise path remains difficult due to the complex ocean currents in the region. Some icebergs have grounded near South Georgia with severe ecological consequences, like A38 in 2004, while others, like A68, drifted past without major impact. If A23a breaks apart, smaller icebergs could pose navigation hazards in the Southern Ocean, a region already known for its challenging maritime conditions.

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Scientists emphasize that while this iceberg’s movement is part of a natural process, Antarctica’s ice sheets are losing mass at an accelerating rate due to global warming. Icebergs are calving more frequently, with increasing concern over long-term consequences such as rising sea levels and disruptions to oceanic ecosystems.

For now, A23a’s arrival near South Georgia remains uncertain. Its impact—whether harmful or beneficial—will depend on where and how it eventually settles.